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Market Resolution and Data Dependencies

How a covered market's outcome settles your simulated position, and what happens when the underlying resolution or data feed is delayed, disputed or corrected.

Version
v1.0
Effective
2026-08-04
Last updated
2026-08-04
Applies to
Every FPT Scale account, evaluation and funded
Contents (8 sections)

A prediction market ends in an outcome. When a market covered by FPT expires and resolves at its source, FPT settles the corresponding simulated position in your account against that outcome.

The important thing to understand is where the outcome comes from. FPT does not decide what happened in the world, and it does not resolve markets. It reads resolution and market data from outside sources, and your simulated account inherits whatever dependencies those sources carry — including delays, disputes and corrections.

The Resolution Sequence

  1. The market reaches its explicit expiration and stops accepting new positions on FPT. Entries are already restricted in the window before that point — see Market Expiration and Late-Entry Restrictions.
  2. The market moves into resolution at its source. It is not tradeable on FPT during this period.
  3. The outcome is published at the source.
  4. FPT settles the corresponding simulated position against that outcome, and your simulated balance, drawdown floor and progress metrics update accordingly.

What FPT Depends On

DependencyWhat it drivesWhat happens if it degrades
Live market priceOrder pricing and fillsOrders are requoted or rejected rather than filled stale
Available liquidityEstimated fill and price impactEstimates widen; orders may be rejected
Trailing 24-hour volumeYour market-volume capYour maximum position in that market changes
Market metadata, including expirationLate-entry restriction, tradeabilityThe market may be restricted rather than traded on bad metadata
Published resolutionSettlement of your simulated positionSettlement is delayed, or later corrected

Because all five come from outside FPT, none of them is under FPT's control, and FPT does not warrant that any of them will be continuously accurate, complete or available.

When a Resolution Is Delayed

Some outcomes take longer to be published than the market's expiration suggests. Events get postponed, sources disagree with each other, and official confirmations arrive late.

When that happens, the market stays out of the tradeable set and the corresponding simulated position remains open and unsettled until an outcome is available. FPT does not invent a settlement to close the position tidily, and it does not settle against a provisional figure it expects to be revised.

When a Resolution Is Disputed or Corrected

Resolutions are occasionally disputed at the source, and occasionally corrected after publication.

Where a source resolution is corrected, FPT may adjust the corresponding simulated position or account record so the account reflects the corrected outcome rather than the erroneous one. That adjustment can move your simulated balance in either direction, and it flows through to everything measured from that balance — your progress toward the profit target, your distance from your maximum loss, and your end-of-day trailing drawdown floor.

This is not a penalty and it is not discretionary editing of your account. It is the account being made to say what actually happened.

Where a disputed resolution affects an account that has reached a payout stage, the payout may be held for review while the underlying outcome is settled. Payout review is described in Why a Payout May Require Review.

When a Data Feed Fails

A price feed can lag, gap or stop. FPT's preference in that situation is to restrict rather than to simulate on bad data, because a fill checked against a stale or wrong price is worse than no fill at all.

Affected markets may be suspended, removed from the tradeable set, or left visible but not tradeable while the feed is verified. See Temporary Market Restrictions.

Why This Matters to Your Objectives

Two practical consequences.

An unsettled position is not a completed one. A market awaiting resolution has not yet contributed profit or loss to your account, which means it has not yet contributed to your profit target, your profitable days, or the 40% consistency calculation. If your objective depends on a market that has not resolved, it depends on something outside your control and outside FPT's.

Corrections can arrive after a day has closed. Because a resolution can be corrected after the fact, a day's recorded profit is not permanently immune from adjustment. The evaluation parameters those days feed into are set out in Complete Evaluation Rules by Account Size.

What This Article Is Not Saying

  • FPT does not resolve markets, adjudicate outcomes or arbitrate disputes at any venue.
  • FPT does not route customer orders to Polymarket, Kalshi or any other venue, does not hold customer funds and does not execute live trades for customers. Your position is a simulated record — see How Simulated Market Activity Works.
  • FPT is not affiliated with, sponsored by or endorsed by Polymarket or Kalshi, and cannot influence how or when a market resolves at either. See Third-Party Platform Non-Affiliation.

The formal statement of these limitations is in the Simulation and Risk Disclosure.

Still Need Help?

If a position has stayed unsettled longer than you expected, or a settlement does not match the outcome you can see at the source, email support@fundedpredictiontrader.com with the market, the position and the outcome you are referring to.

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